HILL STAFF VIEWS: Big Majority of Aides Say No to Prediction Markets

(QUICK READ) — There were some surprises in the responses received when Hill aides were asked by a recent CNCT Capitol Pulse survey whether congressional aides should be able to participate in prediction markets wherein participants gamble on the probability of specified outcomes.

---

---

A substantial majority of respondents, 59 percent, said that is NOT something in which Hill aides should be participating. There was substantial partisan agreement on this issue, but with a distinct Democratic edge, with 77 percent of Dems and 41 percent of GOPers voting against.

The biggest majority against was Democratic men at 85 percent saying no, followed by 76 percent of Senate Democratic aides. Among the GOPers were 47 percent of House aides and 40 percent of women aides.

Support for allowing aides to participate in prediction markets was strongest among GOPers under 30 at 62 percent and 51 percent of GOP men. On the “Unsure” side of the issue were 11 percent of the GOP and 10 percent of the Democrats.